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Never Listen to the Rating Services…

Rule # 1 Never Listen to Analysts…
Rule #2 Never listen to the Ratings Services.
 
Back when I was young and dumb, I used to take stock analysts at face value, thinking they knew what was up.
 
Then later on, once I started to know what I was doing, I realized that these guys were basically paid to have “biases” from their firms. I also realized that they were routinely “late to the ball game” when it came to upgrades and downgrades on stocks.
 
In fact, I’ve seen guys that, to make a point, bought when they said “sell” and sold when they said “buy” and they made money by taking the opposite of their advice. What’s up with that?

Keeping your 401k from Becoming a 201k

I remember the 201k joke very well from the last stock market dive back in 2001-02. It’s a term used for when your 401k gets chopped in half, and it goes from a 401k to a “201k”    It certainly wasn’t used in the 1929 crash, because 401k’s did not exist. Today they very much do exist and are a huge part of people’s financial future and still a great tool regardless of this painful market.   I am not being a dipster here, (a dipster is a term for people that just mindlessly buy any investments just because they are down) I see this market as an opportunity to get smarter about your investing and your finances in general. 

OPEC Targets Higher Oil Prices!

You know, it’s a nice thing to be paying $1.41 a gallon for gas these days. I almost feel like I stepped back in time. However, OPEC (Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries) wants to take a “time warp” forward.
 
You see, those nice prices that you enjoy at the pump are the result of a drastic fall in oil prices. While that may be nice for you and I, it’s a nightmare for oil exporters.
 
So everyone’s not cheering for lower oil prices. While I’d agree that much of the known world is….OPEC is not happy.
 
OPEC’s New Year’s Resolution
 
What in the world are they doing about it? Well, today they met and decided to cut out about 9% of their production. Now this is important since they pump about 40% of the world’s oil.

Year End Tax Planning

While you’re spending all that money on holiday shopping, don’t forget to consider a couple of year end tax saving strategies for perhaps a larger tax refund or smaller liability depending upon your withholding.

The Federal Reserve Cut Interest Rates to a range of 0% to 1/4%

 The Fed just released its interest rate decision ....cut interest rates to a range between 0% and 1/4%. The first time I've ever heard of a "range" but that's the word.  

The Dow popped 50 points upon the Fed lowering rates by "at least" 75 basis points from the former 1% level.

 

Sean Hyman

Head Instructor

www.mywealth.com

shyman@mywealth.com

The Mistakes that Prevent Success in the Currency Market

 

In the years that I’ve spent being an instructor to currency students all around the world, I’ve realized that the names and faces change but the same mistakes tend to happen.

 I think it’s because its human nature to be drawn to the same errors. So let’s talk about a few of the biggest ones so we can “put out a few of these fires” and get you on the road to success in your trading.

 The biggest mistake I see is that traders always say, “How little (dollar wise) can I get started with?” rather than saying how much SHOULD I start with?

 Being undercapitalized is one of the biggest mistakes in any market but particularly in a higher leveraged market like currencies. In my opinion, a trader ought to have at least $2,000 to $3,000 in their account per mini lot traded minimally.

Don't forget...

Don't forget about the Fed's interest rate decision today at 2:15pm EST and be sure to watch out of the results of the OPEC meeting tomorrow (the 17th). Supposedly, 2 million barrels of oil may be cut DAILY. 

 

The Fed is expected to cut rates by 1/2 of a percentage point to 0.50% down from 1% currently. 

 

They also may buy Treasuries to try to manipulate the interest rates down further. 


So stay tuned. 

One Bright Spot for the Global Economy – China!

 

Being an avid chart watcher, I always like to see what indices seem to show improvement the quickest. It’s always good to be attune to the first “signs of life” and where they appear.

 So I was looking around recently as I routinely do and I noticed that China’s stocks are perking back up again. That’s a good thing. Because if that large economy perks up, then it will help the entire global economy.

 In looking at the Shanghai Composite Index below, I see the first signs of life “higher lows and higher highs” on the charts. This tells me that for the first time in a long time, new buyers are coming back into Chinese stocks (as noted by the red downtrend line being broken).

 

Ponzi Schemes and the Residential Real Estate Market

 

The year of the Ponzi…. I think Karen Finerman of CNBC's Fast Money said it best when the news broke in regards to Bernard Madoff’s $50 billion Wall Street Ponzi scheme, she stated that” if there was a year to admit you where running a Ponzi scheme 2008 was it.”   Basically a Ponzi scheme, is a scam where the people that run them and get in at the beginning, make money, by recruiting new money from new people until eventually it folds like a house cards because you cannot recruit any more people with money.

  

This Week holds the Near Term Fate for Oil, the Dollar & Stocks!

It seems everything is “touchy” right now with the stock market because people have been seeing their 401ks and IRAs drop like a rock. So right now, investors are hinging upon everything.
 
This week we’ve got some important events that could change the fate of these assets for the near term.
 
For instance, OPEC will meet on Wednesday, the 17th to decide if they will cut oil production. Here’s my take. Since Saudi Arabia needs $75 oil to meet their budget and to open up new fields and since Kuwait and Qatar need $55 oil, I’d say they are going to cut and cut big.
 
There has been talk that the cut could be to the tune of 1.5 million to 2 million barrels per day cut. If so, this would be the biggest cut in a decade. That could really boost the price of oil over time yet again.
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